nl-dossier-tracker

Deep brief on ONE Dutch legislative dossier: current phase, timeline, moties and votes, EU forcing function, and a framed passage forecast (likelihood band, decisive variable, assumptions, two scenarios, base rate). Use for 'dossier tracker', 'will it pass', 'passage signals', 'dossier {number}', 'wet {name}', 'wetsvoorstel', 'TK dossier', 'legislative dossier', 'bill outlook', 'where does bill X stand and will it pass'. Not for: recurring watching or alerts on dossiers (use nl-monitor); individual-MP defection risk or stakeholder maps (use nl-parliamentary-positioning); 6-36 month foresight across topics (use nl-horizon-scan); a quick one-off status lookup with no forecast (use nl-gov-data).