fermi-estimation
Solve user questions with defensible Fermi estimates using explicit assumptions, source-backed inputs, uncertainty ranges, and sensitivity analysis. Use when exact data is unavailable or too slow to collect but the user still needs a quantitative answer for counts, market size, demand, costs, revenue, capacity, timing, or operational scale. Prefer quick primary-source lookup when it exists; use Fermi estimation as fallback or cross-check when direct measurement is unavailable, stale, fragmented, or too slow. Autonomously gather accessible evidence, prefer current primary sources, and drive to a conclusion without asking for approval.
Pinned to revision 7a07e3df018f, so it is the text this page describes rather than whatever the author pushed since.
Files
- skills/fermi-estimation/SKILL.md
- skills/fermi-estimation/README.md
- skills/fermi-estimation/references/evidence-patterns.md
- skills/fermi-estimation/references/report-template.md
- skills/fermi-estimation/scripts/factor_model.py
- skills/fermi-estimation/scripts/factor_product.py
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