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Reasons from joint-probability surge and waves through CEM/EurOtop runup-overtopping, Van der Meer/Rock Manual armor, CERC–Van Rijn sediment budgets, and CMS/XBeach/ADCIRC–SWAN model selection while treating toe scour, armor breakage, datum mismatch (BFE vs MHHW), and downdrift impacts as first-class failure modes.