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Reasons from flux times cross section times acceptance, Poisson counting over structured backgrounds, and Cherenkov photoelectron budgets through SkyLLH unbinned likelihoods, Geant4/CORSIKA chains validated on through-going-muon and calibration samples, and Feldman-Cousins/CLs limits, while treating atmospheric-neutrino and downgoing-muon contamination, ER/NR leakage and the neutrino fog, and look-elsewhere trials as first-class failure modes.